Justin Boulais vs Bryce Nakashima Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Boulais has won 42.14% of his second serve points, while Nakashima has won 43.68%. Does Nakashima have a slight edge here? It seems so.
• In return games, Boulais has been effective, winning 47.98% of points on the opponent's second serve, surpassing Nakashima's 46.27%.
• First serve return stats highlight a potential advantage for Nakashima, who has won 29.2% compared to Boulais' 26.34%.
• Under pressure, Boulais saves 55.95% of breakpoints, outperforming Nakashima's 53.85%. Could this resilience influence the match's outcome?
• Overall performance in the past year favors Boulais, who has won 60% of matches, contrasting with Nakashima's 57.14% win rate.
• On hard surfaces, Boulais excels with a 54% win rate, whereas Nakashima's strength lies on clay with a 60% win rate.
• Boulais has been competing at a higher level, facing opponents with an average rank of 357.68, significantly higher than Nakashima's 539.86.
• In deciding sets, Nakashima has an impeccable 100% win record, compared to Boulais' 57% in the past year.
• Currently, Boulais has converted 32.48% of break points, while Nakashima has a stronger 54.55% conversion rate.

Editorial Prediction (September 15, 2025, UTC):

Navigating through their second serve performances, Nakashima slightly edges Boulais, suggesting a marginal advantage when service accuracy comes into play. However, Boulais compensates for this with a stronger return game, particularly against second serves.

In terms of saving breakpoints, Boulais showcases greater resilience, which could be pivotal in tight situations. His consistency is further reflected in an overall superior match win rate over the last year.

While Nakashima's first serve return statistics indicate potential threats to Boulais, it's Boulais' stronger opposition faced and better performance on hard surfaces that solidify his competitive stance. Nakashima, with a flawless deciding set record, remains a formidable opponent, especially in crucial moments.

With all factors considered, the combined strength of Boulais’ breakpoint defense and return ability on hard courts tips the match prediction in his favor, making him the more likely winner of the upcoming contest.